Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.329727e-01 0.195275 0.267351 0.354632 0.455484 0.566675 0.696966
2026-01-18 6.139871e-02 0.136315 0.239172 0.378609 0.553451 0.758238 1.009888
2026-01-25 2.740673e-02 0.098099 0.212539 0.381776 0.605930 0.878304 1.222128
2026-02-01 5.884841e-03 0.058852 0.170300 0.353809 0.611770 0.937022 1.358260
2026-02-08 1.464809e-07 0.029802 0.129812 0.317617 0.598705 0.966075 1.453268
2026-02-15 NaN 0.016216 0.109358 0.306175 0.615415 1.030177 1.589297
2026-02-22 NaN 0.009959 0.101085 0.312323 0.655652 1.124089 1.762242
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004632 0.089072 0.309000 0.680323 1.196373 1.907206
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000870 0.071959 0.291916 0.681793 1.235867 2.009096
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000557 0.075722 0.317204 0.749362 1.366145 2.228994
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000355 0.079904 0.343420 0.818600 1.499047 2.452767
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000057 0.078793 0.357719 0.868757 1.605615 2.642450
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000054 0.086430 0.393533 0.956667 1.768932 2.912103
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000003 0.089579 0.419634 1.029786 1.912921 3.158260
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.083172 0.422790 1.065098 2.003698 3.334331
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.064691 0.393245 1.044725 2.015028 3.405043
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.045588 0.354843 1.005918 1.997884 3.436267
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.037157 0.342687 1.010638 2.042186 3.548572
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.034892 0.349222 1.048371 2.134611 3.725790
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.030091 0.345690 1.067444 2.199452 3.865696
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.022275 0.327516 1.058379 2.222016 3.947805
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.025521 0.354407 1.133890 2.370878 4.202452
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.029034 0.382226 1.211182 2.522520 4.461102